Super Bowl Insights
Date & Time: Feb 9th, 2025 @ 6:30pm est on FOX
Open Odds:
Chiefs -1.5
Eagles +1.5
Current Odds:
Chiefs -1.5
Eagles +1.5
Betting Splits:
Public: 56% Chiefs
Money: 53% Chiefs
Game Trends
• Teams that have 5+ win streak going into the Super Bowl are 9-6 ATS since 2003.
• When a team has scored more than 45 points in the Conference Championship, they are 0-2 in the Super Bowl.
• 1990/91 Bills – lost to the Giants 20-19.
• 201-5/16 Panthers – lost to the Broncos 24-10.
• Since 2002, teams with 5+ red zone touchdowns in the playoffs are 5-10 SU and 4-11 ATS in their following game. The Eagles were 7-0 in the red zone vs the Commanders in the NFC Championship.
• Super Bowl Favorites are 27-29-2 ATS and 36-22 SU.
• In the last 17 Super Bowls, Underdogs are 10-7 SU and 12-5 ATS.
• The Over is 28-28-1 in the Super Bowl
• The Over hasn’t hit 3 times in a row since 2013-2015. The Over hit the previous 2 years.
• In the last 21 Super Bowls, the Under is 11-10.
• The Total opened at 49.5. 22% of the public and 16% of the money on the UNDER moved the line to 48.5.
• Super Bowl Winners are 49-7-2 against the spread.
• Mahomes has been in 1 Super Bowl where he did not receive the majority of the public backing. That was Super Bowl 57 vs the Eagles.
• 16 of the last 20 Super Bowl Winners have worn White Jerseys. KC is set to where white on Sunday.
• In Super Bowl games with turf, the average PPG is 44.2 since 1990.
Team Trends
• The Chiefs are 17-2 in their last 19 games.
• The Eagles are 15-1 in their last 16 games.
• The Chiefs are 13-0 in their last 13 games as a favorite.
• The Chiefs are 8-10-1 against the spread this season.
• The Eagles are 13-7-0 against the spread this season.
• The Second Half Under in Chiefs games is 29-11 since 2022/23 season.
• The Chiefs are 29-0 since 2022 when leading after the first quarter.
• Since 2018, the Chiefs are 5-0-0 against the spread at Neutral Sites.
• The Chiefs enter the Super Bowl with a win percentage of 89.5%. The Eagles have an 85% win percentage. Since 2003, the team with the higher win percentage is 1-16 ATS in the Super Bowl.
• Teams with a 1,500+ yard rusher are 8-2 SU in the Super Bowl. Saquon Barkely rushed for 2,005 yards.
• Since 2019, the Chiefs are 25-7 straight up after losing to their current opponent in their previous meeting. The Eagles beat the Chiefs in 2023 21-17.
• Even when losing the turnover battle, the Chiefs still win the game at a 56% rate.
• The Chiefs have won 17 games in a row that ended in a 1 possession score.
• In all 4 Super Bowl appearances by the Chiefs led by Patrick Mahomes, they have never had the lead at half.
• Teams that score 4-+ in the Conference Championship game are 3-7 straight up in the Super Bowl.
Player Trends
Chiefs Player Insights
• Patrick Mahomes (KC) is 16-2 in home or neutral site games during the months of January and February. His two losses came to Joe Burrow and Tom Brady.
• Patrick Mahomes (KC) is 17-3 straight up and 14-6 ATS in the Playoffs.
• Since 2019, Patrick Mahomes (KC) is 30-4 SU with 8+ days rest.
• Patrick Mahomes (KC) has played 5 Neutral Site games and has won all 5.
• Patrick Mahomes (KC) is 8-0 SU and ATS when listed as a dog or favorite of less than a field goal.
• Patrick Mahomes (KC) is 14-1 straight up when playing indoors.
• Patrick Mahomes (KC) has thrown an interception in 3 of his 4 Super Bowl appearances. The only team he didn’t throw one against were the Eagles.
• Patrick Mahomes (KC) has failed to exceed 0.5 interceptions in 8 straight games.
• Travis Kelce (KC) has scored a touchdown in 14 of his last 19 Playoff games. He has scored 19 touchdowns total in that time span.
• Travis Kelce (KC) has 25 receptions, 251 yards, and 3 touchdowns in the 4 games he’s played vs the Eagles.
• Travis Kelce (KC) has at least 5 receptions in 15 straight playoff games. (holds the record for longest streak)
• Kareem Hunt (KC) has a touchdown in the last 4 games played with the Chiefs.
• Isiah Pacheco (KC) has exceeded 21.5 rushing yards in 16 of his last 19 games.
• DeAndre Hopkins (KC) has exceeded 1.5 receptions in 10 of his last 12 games
Eagles Player Insights
• Jalen Hurts (PHI) is 0-3 SU and ATS on the road during the playoffs.
• Jalen Hurts (PHI) has failed to exceed 0.5 interceptions in 9 straight games.
• Jalen Hurts (PHI) has 100+ rush attempts this season. Teams with a qb that rushed 100+ times and made it to the Super Bowl are 0-3. (Hurts in 2022, Cam Newton in 2015, Russell Wilson in 2014).
• Jalen Hurts (PHI) is 3-6 when given extended rest and on the road.
• Saquon Barkley (PHI) has rushed for over 100 yards in 14 of his 19 games this season.
• Saquon Barkley (PHI) has failed to exceed 109.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 7 games vs. top 10 defenses for rushing yards allowed .
• AJ Brown (PHI) is 1st in receiving yards and 1st in yards per route vs man coverage this season.
• DeVonta Smith (PHI) has played the Chiefs 3 times. In those 3 games he had 27 targets, 20 receptions, 221 receiving yards.
• Jake Elliott (PHI) is 1-8 when attempting a 50+ yard Field Goal.
• Jake Elliott (PHI) has exceeded 6.5 kicking points in 7 straight games.
• Jake Elliott (PHI) has exceeded 1.5 made field goals in 6 of his last 7 games.
• Dallas Goedert (PHI) has exceeded 46.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games
Coaching Trends
• When two Coaches rematch in the Super Bowl, the Coach who won the 1st time is undefeated (4-0).
• Andy Reid vs Kyle Shanahan.
• Tom Coughlin vs Bill Belichick.
• Jimmy Johnson vs Marv Levy.
• Chuck Noll vs Tom Landry.
• Vic Fangio (PHI D-Coordinator) is 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS vs Patrick Mahomes. This is the first time Fangio is facing Mahomes as the Eagles Defensive Coordinator.
• Andy Reid (KC) is 34-7 straight up when having 13+ rest days prior to the game.
• Andy Reid (KC) is 4-1 against the Eagles since coaching them.
• Andy Reid (KC) is 4-1 ATS in the Super Bowl.
Novelty Prop Insights
National Anthem 120.5 Seconds
• Jon Batiste will be performing the national anthem.
• In the last 10 years, the 6-4 to go over the time set.
• of the last 8 National Anthems, 7 of them were under 2 minutes and 5 seconds. The 1 that exceeded 2:05 had 2 singers.
Coin Toss
• Heads is 10-9 since Super Bowl 40.
• Teams that won the coin toss are 7-12 since Super Bowl 40.
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