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Home » Week 5 TNF: Betting Insights

Week 5 TNF: Betting Insights


This Thursday, we have a divisional matchup on our hands as the Los Angeles Rams go to Seattle to play the Seahawks in a Thursday Night Football showdown. Both teams have a shortened schedule having played on Sunday, Oct 3rd, and now Thursday, Oct 7th.  From a divisional standpoint, the Rams look to extend their lead over the Seahawks while the Seahawks are looking to tie for 2nd in the NFC West.


The Insights

The Spread

The spread opened at -1.5 in favor of the LA Rams and has moved to -2.5  78% of the public has bet 85% of the total money on the Rams.

The Over/Under

Opening at 53.5 points, 64% of the public has bet 80% of the money on the over, moving the line one point up to 54.5 points.

The Moneyline

The LA Rams opened as the -135 favorite.  53% of the public have bet 71% of the money on the Rams, which has moved the line to -140.


What They Mean & What I’m Betting

The spread stats are showing that the majority of the public is heavily betting LA and the books adjusted the price because of it.  1 point doesn’t sound like much, but it causes the Rams to have to win by 3 or more to cover the spread.  The same goes for the over and moneyline.  The majority of the public is heavily betting the over which is causing the points to rise.  All in all, this is standard line movement, but reassuring to see if you’re betting the favorite.  To be safe, I am betting the LA Rams on the moneyline at -140.  Although this goes against my system of division dogs at home, I think the Rams will win the game.  Do they cover? I am not sure about that.  Divisional games are always strange and overall lack offense.


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