BUFF vs CMU
| Team | Buffalo | Central Michigan |
|---|---|---|
| Open | +3.5 | -3.5 |
| Current | +2.5 | -2.5 |
| Public % | 36% | 64% |
| Money % | 30% | 70% |
Betting Trends
- Central Michigan is 6-14 ATS (30%) as a favorite in the last three seasons
- When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022-24 season record was 213-163 (56.6%). System Matches (PLAY): CENTRAL MICHIGAN
TOL vs M-OH
| Team | Toledo | Miami Ohio |
|---|---|---|
| Open | -2.5 | +2.5 |
| Current | -4 | +4 |
| Public % | 48% | 52% |
| Money % | 31% | 69% |
Betting Trends
- MAC home/neutral underdogs in the +2.5 to +5.5 line range have seen their totals go Under at a 40-22 rate (64.5%) since 2015. Toledo vs Miami Ohio fits this trend.
- Miami Ohio is on a 39-26-1 (60%) Under the total run over last five seasons
NIU vs MASS
| Team | Northern Illinois | UMass |
|---|---|---|
| Open | -13.5 | +13.5 |
| Current | -12.5 | +12.5 |
| Public % | 63% | 37% |
| Money % | 66% | 34% |
Betting Trends
- Home underdogs of > 10 points on Tuesday/Wednesday Night MACtion have gone Over the total at a 15-4-1 (78.9%) rate since 2016. Northern Illinois vs UMass fits this trend.
- When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022-24 season record was 213-163 (56.6%). System Matches (PLAY): NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Today's Top Player Trends
Chavon Wright – NIU @ MASS has failed to exceed 4.5 receiving yards in 6 straight games (0.3 receiving yards/game average). Under 4.5 Receiving Yards: +120
Andrew Glass – NIU has failed to exceed 6.5 kicking points in 8 straight games (2.9 kicking points/game average). Under 6.5 Kicking Points: +105
Chip Trayanum – TOL has exceeded 0.5 TDs in 6 straight games (1.5 TDs/game average). Over 0.5 Touchdowns: -145
Victor Snow – BUFF @ CMU has exceeded 0.5 TDs in 5 straight games on the road (1.4 TDs/game average). Over 0.5 Touchdowns: +120
Dom Dzioban – M-OH has exceeded 5.5 kicking points in 9 straight games at home (9.7 kicking points/game average). Over 5.5 Kicking Points: +120
Chavon Wright – NIU has failed to exceed 61.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 7 games (49.3 rushing yards/game average). Under 61.5 Rushing Yards: -115
DeArare Rogers – NIU @ MASS has failed to exceed 52.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 games (49.2 receiving yards/game average). Under 52.5 Receiving Yards: -115
Tucker Gleason – TOL @ CMU has exceeded 0.5 interceptions in 5 of his last 6 games on the road (1.0 interceptions/game average). Over 0.5 Interceptions: -105
Victor Snow – BUFF @ CMU has exceeded 4.5 receptions in 5 of his last 6 games (5.7 receptions/game average). Over 4.5 Receptions: +100
Tucker Gleason – TOL has exceeded 225.5 passing yards in 5 of his last 6 games on the road (233.5 passing yards/game average). Over 225.5 Passing Yards: -115
Jacquon Gibson – MASS has failed to exceed 50.5 receiving yards in 13 of his last 16 games (32.1 receiving yards/game average). Under 50.5 Receiving Yards: -110
Tucker Gleason – TOL @ CMU has failed to exceed 1.5 passing TDs in 4 of his last 5 games on the road (1.0 passing TDs/game average). Under 1.5 Passing TDs: -105
Telly Johnson Jr. – NIU has exceeded 1.5 receptions in 4 of his last 5 games on the road (2.0 receptions/game average). Over 1.5 Receptions: -160
DeArare Rogers – NIU has failed to exceed 4.5 receptions in 4 of his last 5 games (4.0 receptions/game average). Under 4.5 Receptions: -160
Dequan Finn – M-OH has exceeded 42.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (55.2 rushing yards/game average). Over 42.5 Rushing Yards: -110
Junior Vandeross III – TOL has exceeded 0.5 TDs in 8 of his last 10 games (1.0 TDs/game average). Over 0.5 Touchdowns: +120
Jordan Brunson – M-OH has exceeded 56.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (81.2 rushing yards/game average). Over 56.5 Rushing Yards: -110
Cole Weaver – M-OH has failed to exceed 42.5 receiving yards in 11 of his last 14 games (27.4 receiving yards/game average). Under 42.5 Receiving Yards: -115
Derek Morris – MASS has failed to exceed 4.5 kicking points in 10 of his last 13 games (3.3 kicking points/game average). Under 4.5 Kicking Points: -115
Our Favorite Trends This Week
• Ranked teams coming off of double-digit losses have responded nicely of late, going 59-22 SU and 51-29-1 ATS (63.8%) in the next game since November of ’21.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): GEORGIA TECH (-16.5 at Boston College), CINCINNATI (-6.5 vs. Arizona), BYU (-4.5 vs. TCU)
• Teams that lose in a college football game as favorites of 19.5 points or more have gone just 43-70 SU and 41-68-4 ATS (37.6%) in the follow-up game since 2012.
System Match (FADE): OREGON STATE (-2.5 at Tulsa)
• UTSA has won 13 of its last 14 conference games ATS when coming off an outright loss
Trend Match (PLAY): UTSA (-18.5 at Charlotte)
• BOISE STATE is on a 13-3 (81.3%) ATS run following a SU loss
Trend Match (PLAY): BOISE STATE (+3 at San Diego State)
• When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022-24 season record was 213-163 (56.6%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): AKRON, OHIO, NORTHERN ILLINOIS, CENTRAL MICHIGAN, OLD DOMINION, LOUISVILLE, OREGON
• CFB teams coming off a win over a ranked team and playing another ranked team are 68-33 Under the total (67.3%) in these next games dating back to September of ’21.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): WISCONSIN-INDIANA (o/u at 44.5), OKLAHOMA-ALABAMA (o/u at 45.5), NC STATE-MIAMI FL (o/u at 55.5), TEXAS-GEORGIA (o/u at 48.5)
• In games Week 12 or later in the season, ranked road teams are now 131-35 SU and 91-72-3 ATS (55.8%) vs. non-ranked home teams since 2017. Digging deeper into this data, you will find that when these ranked road teams are favored by more than six points against non-ranked hosts, they have gone 113-16 SU and 73-53-3 ATS (57.9%) in that same Week 12 and later time span.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): VIRGINIA, SOUTH FLORIDA, MICHIGAN, GEORGIA TECH, UTAH
• Home ranked teams vs. non-ranked visitors: In games Week 12 or later in the season, there has been a huge discrepancy in the performance of ranked home teams against non-ranked visitors at the 12-point favorite line mark. As favorites of 12 points or more, they have gone 115-14 SU but just 53-70-2 ATS (43.1%), but at any other line, including underdog, they are 40-8 SU and 31-17 ATS (64.6%) since ’17.
System Matches (PLAY ALL) SMALLER FAVORITES/UNDERDOGS – LOUISVILLE, CINCINNATI, USC, BYU
• Unranked teams favored over ranked teams in Power 4 conference games boast a record of 62-28 SU and 51-35-4 ATS (59.3%) dating back to November ’16.
System Match (PLAY): DUKE (-6 vs. Virginia)
• Ranked home favorites of more than 14 points are 341-27 SU but just 160-204-4 ATS (44%) versus unranked conference opponents since October ’15.
System Matches (FADE ALL ATS): OREGON, INDIANA, TEXAS A&M, JAMES MADISON, MIAMI FL, TEXAS TECH, OLE MISS, OHIO STATE
• Unranked teams on the road versus a ranked team and playing as favorites or underdogs of seven or fewer points have gone 86-57 UNDER the total (60.1%) dating back to October ’16.
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): CLEMSON-LOUISVILLE, ARIZONA-CINCINNATI, IOWA-USC, TCU-BYU
• Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 84-114 ATS (42.4%) since 2011.
System Matches (FADE ALL): APPALACHIAN STATE (+21 at James Madison), IOWA (+7 at USC)
• Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played in 14 are on a 149-119 ATS (55.6%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): SOUTH CAROLINA (+19.5 at Texas A&M), NC STATE (+14.5 at Miami FL), VIRGINIA TECH (+14 at Florida State)
• Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than three points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play against team, 31-49 ATS (38.8%) since 2010.
System Match (FADE): SAM HOUSTON STATE (+9.5 vs. Delaware)
• Big Ten home underdogs of >= 11.5 points in Week 11 or later in the season have had their totals go Over at a 22-8 (73.3%) rate since 2017
System Match (PLAY OVER): MICHIGAN-NORTHWESTERN (spread +11.5, total 41.5)
• Big Ten home favorites in the -17 to -30.5 line range with a total of <= 56 have gone Under the total at a 39-18 (68.4%) rate since 2017
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): MINNESOTA-OREGON (spread -25.5, total 43.5), WISCONSIN-INDIANA (spread -29.5, total 44.5)
• Big 12 home favorites of 21 points or more have seen totals go Over at a 25-11 (69.4%) rate since 2016
System Match (PLAY OVER): UCF-TEXAS TECH (spread -23.5, total 47.5)
• Under the total is 68-46-1 (59.6%) in ACC expected-tight matchups (within -3.5 to +3.5 line range) with totals <= 55.5 since 2015
System Match (PLAY UNDER): CLEMSON-LOUISVILLE (spread -3, total 50.5)
• AAC favorites in the -7 to -12 line range have gone 114-15 SU and 74-49-6 (60.2%) ATS since 2015
System Match (PLAY): SOUTH FLORIDA (-10.5 at Navy)
• Home underdogs of > 10 points on Tuesday/Wednesday Night MACtion have gone Over the total at a 15-4-1 (78.9%) rate since 2016
System Match (PLAY OVER): NORTHERN ILLINOIS-UMASS (spread +11.5, total 43.5)
• MAC home/neutral underdogs in the +2.5 to +5.5 line range have seen their totals go Under at a 40-22 rate (64.5%) since 2015
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): TOLEDO-MIAMI OH (spread +4, total 45.5), EASTERN MICHIGAN-BALL STATE (spread +2.5, total 50.5)
• MWC home favorites of a touchdown or less (-0.5 to -7) with a total of >=60.5 have seen the total go Under at a 18-7 (72%) rate since 2016
System Match (PLAY UNDER): UTAH STATE-UNLV (spread -6, total 71.5)
• Sun Belt non-Saturday games have gone Under the total at a 52-28-1 (65%) rate since 2015
System Match (PLAY UNDER): TROY-OLD DOMINION (o/u at 52.5)
• Sun Belt road favorites in the -3.5 to -10 line range are 66-29 SU and 56-39 (58.9%) ATS since 2015
System Matches (PLAY ALL): MARSHALL (-7.5 at Georgia State), SOUTH ALABAMA (-4.5 at LA Monroe)
Top Matchup Trends
Ohio at Western Michigan
• Road teams are 4-2 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in the Ohio-WMU series since 2015
Trend Match (PLAY): Ohio (+1.5 at Western Michigan)
Memphis at East Carolina
• Over the total is 8-3 in the last 11 of the series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): Memphis-East Carolina (o/u at 59.5)
Virginia at Duke
• Virginia is 8-1 SU and ATS in the last nine games with Duke
Trend Match (PLAY): Virginia (+6 at Duke)
Virginia Tech at Florida State
• Over the total is 6-1 in the last seven of this ACC series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): Virginia Tech-Florida State (o/u at 54.5)
Eastern Michigan at Ball State
• Road teams are 9-2 ATS in the last 11 of the series
Trend Match (PLAY): Eastern Michigan (-2.5 at Ball State)
Kansas State at Oklahoma State
• Home teams are on a 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS run in this rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY): Oklahoma State (+19.5 vs. Kansas State)
Florida at Mississippi
• Underdogs are 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS in this series since 2002
Trend Match (PLAY): Florida (+15.5 at Ole Miss)
North Texas at UAB
• Favorites are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in last seven of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): North Texas (-18.5 at UAB)
Colorado State at New Mexico
• Colorado State is on a 9-1-1 ATS run versus UNM
Trend Match (PLAY): Colorado State (+14.5 at New Mexico)
• Under the total has converted in six straight CSU-UNM games
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): Colorado State-New Mexico (o/u at 53.5)
Wyoming at Fresno State
• Under the total is 6-1-1 in the last eight of this MWC rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): Wyoming-Fresno State (o/u at 40.5)
Boise State at San Diego State
• Underdogs are 5-0 ATS in the BSU-SDSU series at San Diego State since 2011
Trend Match (PLAY): Boise State (+3 at San Diego State)
Top Team Trends This Week
• Air Force is 32-20 (61.5%) ATS in non-conference games since ’14
Trend Match (PLAY): Air Force (+7 at UConn)
• Akron is 18-31-1 (36.7%) ATS at home since ’16
Trend Match (FADE): Akron (-7 vs. Kent State)
• Alabama is on a 30-9 ATS (76.9%) surge at home
Trend Match (PLAY): Alabama (-6 vs. Oklahoma)
• Arizona is 18-32 (36%) ATS in road/neutral games since ’16
Trend Match (FADE): Arizona (+6.5 at Cincinnati)
• Ball State is 40-25-1 (61.5%) Under the total over the last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): Eastern Michigan-Ball State (o/u at 50.5)
• Boise State is on a 13-3 (81.3%) ATS run following a SU loss
Trend Match (PLAY): Boise State (+3 at San Diego State)
• Boston College is 27-18 (60%) ATS in conference games since ’20
Trend Match (PLAY): Boston College (+16.5 vs. Georgia Tech)
• Central Michigan is 6-14 ATS (30%) as a favorite in the last three seasons
Trend Match (FADE): Central Michigan (-1.5 vs. Buffalo)
• Charlotte is 5-19 (20.8%) ATS in its last 24 home games
Trend Match (FADE): Charlotte (+18.5 vs. UTSA)
• Clemson is 24-13 (64.9%) ATS in road/neutral games since ’20
Trend Match (PLAY): Clemson (+3 at Louisville)
• Eastern Michigan is 41-21 (66.1%) ATS in road/neutral games since ’16
Trend Match (PLAY): Eastern Michigan (-2.5 at Ball State)
• Florida Atlantic is 6-18 (25%) ATS in its last 24 games following a SU win
Trend Match (FADE): Florida Atlantic (+17.5 at Tulane)
• Florida International is 16-31 (34%) in conference games over the last six seasons
Trend Match (FADE): Florida International (+3 vs. Liberty)
• Florida State is 12-26 (31.6%) ATS in conference games since ’21
Trend Match (FADE): Florida State (-14 vs. VA Tech)
• Fresno State is 37-23-1 (61.7%) Under the total since ’21
• Fresno State is 23-14 (62.2%) ATS coming off a SU win since ’21
Trends Match: PLAY Fresno State (-3.5 vs. Wyoming), also PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 40.5)
• Georgia Tech is 12-24-1 ATS (33.3%) as a favorite since ‘18
Trend Match (FADE): Georgia Tech (-16.5 at Boston College)
• Illinois is on a 4-15 ATS skid as a conference home favorite
Trend Match (FADE): Illinois (-15.5 vs. Maryland)
• James Madison is 29-16 (64.4%) ATS as a favorite since ’20
Trend Match (PLAY): James Madison (-21 vs. Appalachian State)
• Kansas State is 13-6 ATS (68.4%) following a SU loss in the last four seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): Kansas State (-19.5 at Oklahoma State)
• Kansas State is on an 11-1 ATS run in Big 12 action when coming off a blowout loss of 20+ points
Trend Match (PLAY): Kansas State (-19.5 at Oklahoma State)
• Kent State is 13-27 (32.5%) ATS in the last 40 games as an underdog
Trend Match (FADE): Kent State (+7 at Akron)
• Kentucky is 20-8 (71.4%) ATS in non-conference games since 2018
Trend Match (PLAY): Kentucky (vs. Tennessee Tech)
• Louisiana Tech is 39-29-1 (57.4%) Over the total since ‘19
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): Louisiana Tech-Washington State (o/u at 45.5)
• Louisville is on an impressive 12-6 ATS surge as an ACC home favorite
Trend Match (PLAY): Louisville (-3 vs. Clemson)
• LSU is 15-6 ATS in the last 21 SEC games when coming off a road loss
Trend Match (PLAY): LSU (-5.5 vs. Arkansas)
• Miami Ohio is on a 39-26-1 (60%) Under the total run over last five seasons
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): Toledo-Miami OH (o/u at 45.5)
• Michigan is 20-10 (66.7%) ATS in road/neutral games in the last four seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): Michigan (-11.5 at Northwestern)
• Michigan is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games vs. Big Ten foes when coming off a home win
Trend Match (PLAY): Michigan (-11.5 at Northwestern)
• Minnesota is 12-5-2 (70.6%) ATS as a double-digit conference underdog since 2014
Trend Match (PLAY): Minnesota (+25.5 at Oregon)
• Mississippi State is 33-26 (55.9%) Under the total since ’21
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): Mississippi State-Missouri (o/u at 51.5)
• New Mexico is 22-44 (33.3%) ATS in conference games since ’17
• New Mexico is 8-20 (28.6%) ATS as a favorite since ’18
• New Mexico is 23-10 (69.7%) Over the total in the last 2+ seasons
Trends Match: FADE New Mexico (-14.5 vs. Colorado State), also PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 53.5)
• Notre Dame is 31-11 ATS (73.8%) in road/neutral games in last six seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): Notre Dame (-11.5 at Pittsburgh)
• Ohio U is 26-12 ATS (68.4%) in conference games over the last four seasons
Trend Match (PLAY): Ohio (+1.5 at Western Michigan)
• Old Dominion is 11-23 (32.4%) ATS at home since ’19
Trend Match (FADE): Old Dominion (-11.5 vs. Troy)
• Ole Miss is 13-22-2 (37.1%) ATS in conference games since ’21
Trend Match (FADE): Ole Miss (-15.5 vs. Florida)
• Penn State is 12-23 (34.3%) ATS coming off a SU loss since ’15
Trend Match (FADE): Penn State (-7.5 at Michigan State)
• Pittsburgh is 46-25 (64.8%) Over the total since 2020
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): Notre Dame-Pittsburgh (o/u at 55.5)
• San Diego State is 50-29 (63.3%) Under the total since ’19
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): Boise State-San Diego State (o/u at 41.5)
• Tennessee is 18-5 (78.3%) ATS in non-conference games since 2021
Trend Match (PLAY): Tennessee (-40.5 vs. New Mexico State)
• Texas Tech is 19-6 (76%) ATS in the last 25 games as a double-digit favorite
Trend Match (PLAY): Texas Tech (-23.5 vs. UCF)
• Troy is 23-6 (79.3%) ATS in road/neutral games since ’21
Trend Match (PLAY): Troy (+11.5 at Old Dominion)
• Troy has won 12 of its last 14 Sun Belt road games ATS
Trend Match (PLAY): Troy (+11.5 at Old Dominion)
• Tulane is 51-27-1 (65.4%) ATS as a favorite since ’14
Trend Match (PLAY): Tulane (-17.5 vs. FAU)
• UAB is 22-11 (66.7%) ATS at home since ’20
Trend Match (PLAY): UAB (+18.5 vs. North Texas)
• UCF is on a 2-13 ATS skid in conference games when coming off a close loss of seven points or less
Trend Match (FADE): UCF (+23.5 at Texas Tech)
• UNLV is on a 22-10 (68.8%) ATS run following a SU win
Trends Match (PLAY): UNLV (-6 vs. Utah State)
• USC has lost 14 of its last 20 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
Trend Match (FADE): USC (-7 vs. Iowa)
• USC is 33-16 ATS (67.3%) Over the total in the last three seasons
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): Iowa-USC (o/u at 49.5)
• Utah State is 5-17 ATS (22.7%) in road/neutral games over the last three seasons
Trends Match (PLAY): UNLV (-6 vs. Utah State)
• UTSA has won 13 of its last 14 conference games ATS when coming off an outright loss
Trend Match (PLAY): UTSA (-18.5 at Charlotte)
• Western Kentucky is on a 14-3 ATS surge in conference play when coming off a win at home
Trend Match (PLAY): Western Kentucky (-13.5 vs. Middle Tennessee State)
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