GASO vs APP
| Team | Georgia Southern Eagles | App State Mountaineers |
|---|---|---|
| Open | +4.5 | -4.5 |
| Current | +5.5 | -5.5 |
| Public % | 24% | 76% |
| Money % | 34% | 66% |
Betting Trends
- Since the start of the ’22 season where the totals reached 59 or higher and majority handle bettors favored the UNDER, they have been 61-47 (56.5%). System Matches (PLAY UNDER): GEORGIA SOUTHERN-APPALACHIAN STATE
- Teams seeking revenge against a team that is currently allowing 35 PPG or more have been successful, going 228-177 ATS (56.3%) since 2016.
- System Matches (PLAY): APPALACHIAN STATE (-6.5 vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN)
- Sun Belt non-Saturday games have gone UNDER the total at a 51-28-1 (64.6%) rate since 2015 (including 21-5 (80.8%) when total is >= 59). System Match (PLAY UNDER): GEORGIA SOUTHERN-APPALACHIAN STATE (o/u at 62.5)
- APPALACHIAN STATE is 9-25 ATS (26.5%) in the last 34 games as a favorite. Trend Match (FADE): APPALACHIAN STATE (-6.5 vs. GEORGIA SOUTHERN)
UTSA vs USF
| Team | UTSA Roadrunners | South Florida Bulls |
|---|---|---|
| Open | +12.5 | -12.5 |
| Current | +14 | -14 |
| Public % | 20% | 80% |
| Money % | 9% | 91% |
Betting Trends
- Ranked teams coming off a close loss of seven points or fewer and playing an unranked team are 114-29 SU but just 58-81-4 ATS (41.7%) since December of ’15. System Matches (FADE): SOUTH FLORIDA (-14 vs. UTSA)
- When the majority of number of bets has backed a team in an ATS wager in non-Saturday games, their 2022-24 season record was 213-163 (56.6%). System Matches (PLAY): SOUTH FLORIDA (-14 vs. UTSA)
Today's Top Player Trends
Camden Brown – GASO has exceeded 0.5 TDs in 7 of his last 8 games (1.1 TDs/game average). Over 0.5 Touchdowns: +150
OJ Arnold – GASO has failed to exceed 62.5 rushing yards in 6 of his last 7 games on the road (33.3 rushing yards/game average). Under 62.5 Rushing Yards: -114
Devlin McCuin – UTSA has exceeded 49.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 games (61.0 receiving yards/game average). Over 49.5 Receiving Yards: -114
Byrum Brown – USF has exceeded 0.5 interceptions in 5 of his last 6 games (1.0 interceptions/game average). Over 0.5 Interceptions: -105
Owen McCown – UTSA has failed to exceed 1.5 passing TDs in 4 of his last 5 games on the road (1.0 passing TDs/game average). Under 1.5 Passing TDs: +120
Dalen Cobb – GASO has failed to exceed 44.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games on the road (32.2 receiving yards/game average). Under 44.5 Receiving Yards: -114
Byrum Brown – USF has exceeded 0.5 TDs in 4 of his last 5 games at home (1.0 TDs/game average). Over 0.5 Touchdowns: -105
Byrum Brown – USF has exceeded 79.5 rushing yards in 4 of his last 5 games (87.0 rushing yards/game average). Over 79.5 Rushing Yards: -107
Jaden Barnes – APP has failed to exceed 47.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games (21.6 receiving yards/game average). Under 47.5 Receiving Yards: -114
Robert Henry Jr. – UTSA has exceeded 83.5 rushing yards in 8 of his last 10 games (130.1 rushing yards/game average). Over 83.5 Rushing Yards: -114
Our Favorite Trends This Week
• Louisiana is on a 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS run versus TSU
Trend Match (PLAY): Louisiana (+2.5 vs. Texas State)
• Teams still ranked even after losing as seven-point favorites or more are 71-35 SU but 41-63-2 ATS (39.4%) in the follow-up games since September of ’16.
System Match (FADE): Miami FL (-28.5 vs. Syracuse)
• Big Ten home favorites of >= 11.5 points in Week 11 or later in the season have had their totals go Over at a 21-7 (75%) rate since 2017
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): Indiana–Penn State (spread +14.5, o/u 49.5), Ohio State–Purdue (spread +29.5, o/u 47.5), Washington–Wisconsin (spread +11.5, o/u 44.5)
• Sun Belt non-Saturday games with totals >= 59 have gone Under at a 21-5 (80.8%) rate since 2015
System Match (PLAY UNDER): Georgia Southern-Appalachian State (o/u at 62.5)
• Northern Illinois is a 16-5 ATS MAC road underdog in its last 21 tries
Trend Match (PLAY): Northern Illinois (+14.5 at Toledo)
• Teams seeking revenge against a team that is allowing 35 PPG or more have been successful, going 228-177 ATS (56.3%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): Appalachian State (-6.5 vs. Georgia Southern), Tulsa (+3.5 at Florida Atlantic), East Carolina (-28.5 vs. Charlotte), Rice (-2.5 vs. UAB)
• Louisiana Tech is 1-9 SU and ATS (10%) in its last 10 games as a road favorite
Trend Match (FADE): Louisiana Tech (-5.5 at Delaware)
• In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are 213-107 SU and 185-126-9 ATS (59.5%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): Texas Tech (-10 vs. BYU), Missouri (+7 vs. Texas A&M)
• In college football games featuring two ranked teams with the home team being a double-digit favorite, Under the total boasts an impressive 42-20 (67.7%) record since the beginning of the 2017 season. When adding a qualifier of totals higher than 56 to that system, the Under record jumps to 24-9 (72.7%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BYU-Texas Tech (spread TTU -10, o/u 52.5)
• Ranked home favorites of more than 14 points are 339-26 SU but just 159-202-4 ATS (44%) versus unranked conference opponents since October ’15.
System Matches (FADE ALL): USC (-14.5 vs. Northwestern), Miami FL (-28.5 vs. Syracuse), Louisville (-19.5 vs. California)
• Ranked teams coming off a close loss of seven points or fewer and playing an unranked team are 114-29 SU but just 58-81-4 ATS (41.7%) since December of ’15.
System Matches (FADE ALL): South Florida (-14 vs. UTSA), Miami FL (-28.5 vs. Syracuse), Vanderbilt (-6.5 vs. Auburn)
• Ranked teams coming off a close win of seven points or fewer where they didn’t cover the point spread, are on a 214-51 SU and 152-111-2 ATS (57.8%) surge when favored in the next game since October of ’15.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): USC (-14.5 vs. Northwestern), Georgia (-7.5 at Mississippi State), Alabama (-10.5 vs. LSU)
• Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 84-113 ATS (42.6%) since 2011.
System Match (FADE): Tulsa (+3.5 at FAU)
• Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 84-113 ATS (42.6%) since 2011.
System Match (FADE): Tulsa (+3.5 at FAU)
• Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played in 14 days are on a 148-115 ATS (56.3%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BYU (+10 at Texas Tech), Charlotte (+28.5 at East Carolina), Georgia State (+7.5 at Coastal Carolina), LSU (+10 at Alabama), Nevada (+9.5 at Utah State)
• Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than three points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play-against team, 30-49 ATS (38%) since 2010.
System Match (FADE): WATCH FOR Kentucky vs. Florida (+3 currently*)
• Teams playing at home in conference games and coming off a blowout loss by more than 45 points are just 48-75 ATS (39%) since 2010.
System Match (FADE): UCLA (-1.5 vs. Nebraska)
• Big Ten home underdogs of >= 11.5 points in Week 11 or later in the season have had their totals go Over at a 21-7 (75%) rate since 2017
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): Indiana–Penn State (spread +14.5, o/u 49.5), Ohio State–Purdue (spread +29.5, o/u 47.5), Washington–Wisconsin (spread +11.5, o/u 44.5)
• Big Ten road favorites of -4 or less have gone 25-9 SU and 23-11 ATS (67.6%) in conference play since 2021
System Match (PLAY): Maryland (if they fall into this line range at Rutgers, +1.5 currently)
• Over the total is 20-7 (74.1%) in SEC non-neutral expected-tight matchups (within a field goal -3 to +3) with totals <= 51.5 since 2021
System Match (PLAY OVER): Florida–Kentucky (spread +3, total 43.5)
• Under the total is 68-46-1 (59.6%) in ACC expected-tight matchups (within -3.5 to +3.5 line range) with totals <= 55.5 since 2015
System Match (PLAY UNDER): WATCH FOR Florida State–Clemson (spread -2.5, total 56.5)
• MWC home favorites of a touchdown or less (-0.5 to -7) with a total of >=60.5 have seen the total go Under at a 17-7 (70.8%) rate since 2016
System Match (PLAY UNDER): Air Force–San Jose State (spread -4.5, total 67.5)
• AAC favorites in the -7 to -12 line range have gone 113-15 SU and 74-48-6 (60.7%) ATS since 2015
System Match (PLAY): Army (if they fall into this line range vs. Temple, -6.5 currently)
• Sun Belt road favorites in the -3.5 to -10 line range are 65-28 SU and 56-37 (60.2%) ATS since 2015
System Match (PLAY): Southern Miss (-4.5 at Arkansas State)
• Under the total is 55-30-1 (64.7%) in Conference USA expected-tight matchups (-3 to +2.5 line range) since 2015
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): Florida International–Middle Tennessee State (spread +1.5, o/u 51.5), Jacksonville State–UTEP (spread +1.5, o/u 48.5)
Top Matchup Trends
Northern Illinois at Toledo
Road teams are 11-2 ATS run in this series
Trend Match (PLAY): Northern Illinois (+14.5 at Toledo)
Houston at UCF
Road teams have covered eight straight ATS in the series
Trend Match (PLAY): Houston (+1.5 at UCF)
Georgia State at Coastal Carolina
Road teams are a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS in this series since ‘17
Trend Match (PLAY): Georgia State (+7.5 at Coastal Carolina)
Florida State at Clemson
Favorites are on a 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS streak in the Clemson-FSU rivalry (last year’s ATS loss was by the hook, Clemson won 29-13 as a 16.5-point favorite)
Trend Match (PLAY): Clemson (-2.5 vs. Florida State)
Indiana at Penn State
OVER the total is 5-1 in the last six of this series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): Indiana-Penn State (o/u at 49.5)
Wake Forest at Virginia
Wake Forest is 7-0-1 ATS in its last eight games with UVA, and 5-0 ATS in its last five as a road underdog
Trend Match (PLAY): Wake Forest (+6.5 at Virginia)
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan
Road teams are 8-1 ATS in the last nine of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): Bowling Green (+1.5 at Eastern Michigan)
UAB at Rice
Home teams are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): Rice (-2.5 vs. UAB)
Iowa State at TCU
Home teams are 6-1 SU and ATS in the last seven of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): TCU (-6.5 vs. Iowa State)
Auburn at Vanderbilt
Under the total has converted in all six meetings since 2007
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): Auburn-Vanderbilt (o/u at 45.5)
Texas State at Louisiana
Louisiana is on a 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS run versus TSU
Trend Match (PLAY): Louisiana (+2.5 vs. Texas State)
UNLV at Colorado State
Colorado State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games with UNLV, including seven straight covers when hosting the Rebels
Trend Match (PLAY): Colorado State (+4.5 vs. UNLV)
Florida International at Middle Tennessee State
Home teams are 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): Middle Tennessee State (+1.5 vs. FIU)
OVER the total is 9-2 in the last 11 of this rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): FIU-MTSU (o/u at 51.5)
Nevada at Utah State
Home teams are 10-2 ATS in this series since 2005
Trend Match (PLAY): Utah State (-9.5 vs. Nevada)
Top Team Trends This Week
• USC has not handled outright road wins well, going 0-9 ATS in the next game if against conference opponents
• USC has lost 14 of its last 19 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
Trends Match (FADE): USC (-14.5 vs. Northwestern)
• Mississippi State is on a 0-8 ATS skid in conference play when coming off an upset win
Trend Match (FADE): Mississippi State (+8.5 vs. Georgia)
• UCF has lost 12 of its last 14 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
Trend Match (FADE): UCF (-1.5 vs. Houston)
• Rutgers is on a 2-12 ATS skid as a Big Ten home underdog
Trend Match (FADE): Rutgers (+1.5 vs. Maryland)
• Memphis is on a 9-20 ATS skid in conference games when coming off an outright win
Trend Match (FADE): Memphis (-6 vs. Tulane)
• Purdue has a respectable 14-5 ATS record in its last 19 games as a Big Ten dog of 20+ points
Trend Match (PLAY): Purdue (+29.5 vs. Ohio State)
• Georgia State is on a solid road Sun Belt run of 15-5 ATS
Trend Match (PLAY): Georgia State (+7.5 at Coastal Carolina)
• Louisville is on an impressive 12-5 ATS surge as an ACC home favorite
Trend Match (PLAY): Louisville (-19.5 vs. California)
• Northern Illinois is a 16-5 ATS MAC road underdog in its last 21 tries
Trend Match (PLAY): Northern Illinois (+14.5 at Toledo)