• Louisiana is on a 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS run versus TSU
Trend Match (PLAY): Louisiana (+2.5 vs. Texas State)

• Teams still ranked even after losing as seven-point favorites or more are 71-35 SU but 41-63-2 ATS (39.4%) in the follow-up games since September of ’16.
System Match (FADE): Miami FL (-28.5 vs. Syracuse)

• Big Ten home favorites of >= 11.5 points in Week 11 or later in the season have had their totals go Over at a 21-7 (75%) rate since 2017
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): Indiana–Penn State (spread +14.5, o/u 49.5), Ohio State–Purdue (spread +29.5, o/u 47.5), Washington–Wisconsin (spread +11.5, o/u 44.5)

• Sun Belt non-Saturday games with totals >= 59 have gone Under at a 21-5 (80.8%) rate since 2015
System Match (PLAY UNDER): Georgia Southern-Appalachian State (o/u at 62.5)

• Northern Illinois is a 16-5 ATS MAC road underdog in its last 21 tries
Trend Match (PLAY): Northern Illinois (+14.5 at Toledo)

• Teams seeking revenge against a team that is allowing 35 PPG or more have been successful, going 228-177 ATS (56.3%) since 2016.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): Appalachian State (-6.5 vs. Georgia Southern), Tulsa (+3.5 at Florida Atlantic), East Carolina (-28.5 vs. Charlotte), Rice (-2.5 vs. UAB)

• Louisiana Tech is 1-9 SU and ATS (10%) in its last 10 games as a road favorite
Trend Match (FADE): Louisiana Tech (-5.5 at Delaware)

• In games featuring two ranked teams since 2017, home teams are 213-107 SU and 185-126-9 ATS (59.5%).
System Matches (PLAY ALL): Texas Tech (-10 vs. BYU), Missouri (+7 vs. Texas A&M)

• In college football games featuring two ranked teams with the home team being a double-digit favorite, Under the total boasts an impressive 42-20 (67.7%) record since the beginning of the 2017 season. When adding a qualifier of totals higher than 56 to that system, the Under record jumps to 24-9 (72.7%).
System Match (PLAY UNDER): BYU-Texas Tech (spread TTU -10, o/u 52.5)

• Ranked home favorites of more than 14 points are 339-26 SU but just 159-202-4 ATS (44%) versus unranked conference opponents since October ’15.
System Matches (FADE ALL): USC (-14.5 vs. Northwestern), Miami FL (-28.5 vs. Syracuse), Louisville (-19.5 vs. California)

• Ranked teams coming off a close loss of seven points or fewer and playing an unranked team are 114-29 SU but just 58-81-4 ATS (41.7%) since December of ’15.
System Matches (FADE ALL): South Florida (-14 vs. UTSA), Miami FL (-28.5 vs. Syracuse), Vanderbilt (-6.5 vs. Auburn)

• Ranked teams coming off a close win of seven points or fewer where they didn’t cover the point spread, are on a 214-51 SU and 152-111-2 ATS (57.8%) surge when favored in the next game since October of ’15.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): USC (-14.5 vs. Northwestern), Georgia (-7.5 at Mississippi State), Alabama (-10.5 vs. LSU)

• Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 84-113 ATS (42.6%) since 2011.
System Match (FADE): Tulsa (+3.5 at FAU)

• Road teams in conference games coming off very close losses of less than three points have struggled lately, 84-113 ATS (42.6%) since 2011.
System Match (FADE): Tulsa (+3.5 at FAU)

• Teams playing as conference road dogs of more than seven points after not having played in 14 days are on a 148-115 ATS (56.3%) surge since 2010.
System Matches (PLAY ALL): BYU (+10 at Texas Tech), Charlotte (+28.5 at East Carolina), Georgia State (+7.5 at Coastal Carolina), LSU (+10 at Alabama), Nevada (+9.5 at Utah State)

• Teams playing at home in conference games as dogs of more than three points when coming off a huge upset win as a double-digit road underdog have been a play-against team, 30-49 ATS (38%) since 2010.
System Match (FADE): WATCH FOR Kentucky vs. Florida (+3 currently*)

• Teams playing at home in conference games and coming off a blowout loss by more than 45 points are just 48-75 ATS (39%) since 2010.
System Match (FADE): UCLA (-1.5 vs. Nebraska)

• Big Ten home underdogs of >= 11.5 points in Week 11 or later in the season have had their totals go Over at a 21-7 (75%) rate since 2017
System Matches (PLAY OVER ALL): Indiana–Penn State (spread +14.5, o/u 49.5), Ohio State–Purdue (spread +29.5, o/u 47.5), Washington–Wisconsin (spread +11.5, o/u 44.5)

• Big Ten road favorites of -4 or less have gone 25-9 SU and 23-11 ATS (67.6%) in conference play since 2021
System Match (PLAY): Maryland (if they fall into this line range at Rutgers, +1.5 currently)

• Over the total is 20-7 (74.1%) in SEC non-neutral expected-tight matchups (within a field goal -3 to +3) with totals <= 51.5 since 2021
System Match (PLAY OVER): Florida–Kentucky (spread +3, total 43.5)

• Under the total is 68-46-1 (59.6%) in ACC expected-tight matchups (within -3.5 to +3.5 line range) with totals <= 55.5 since 2015
System Match (PLAY UNDER): WATCH FOR Florida State–Clemson (spread -2.5, total 56.5)

• MWC home favorites of a touchdown or less (-0.5 to -7) with a total of >=60.5 have seen the total go Under at a 17-7 (70.8%) rate since 2016
System Match (PLAY UNDER): Air Force–San Jose State (spread -4.5, total 67.5)

• AAC favorites in the -7 to -12 line range have gone 113-15 SU and 74-48-6 (60.7%) ATS since 2015
System Match (PLAY): Army (if they fall into this line range vs. Temple, -6.5 currently)

• Sun Belt road favorites in the -3.5 to -10 line range are 65-28 SU and 56-37 (60.2%) ATS since 2015
System Match (PLAY): Southern Miss (-4.5 at Arkansas State)

• Under the total is 55-30-1 (64.7%) in Conference USA expected-tight matchups (-3 to +2.5 line range) since 2015
System Matches (PLAY UNDER ALL): Florida International–Middle Tennessee State (spread +1.5, o/u 51.5), Jacksonville State–UTEP (spread +1.5, o/u 48.5)

Northern Illinois at Toledo

Road teams are 11-2 ATS run in this series
Trend Match (PLAY): Northern Illinois (+14.5 at Toledo)

Houston at UCF

Road teams have covered eight straight ATS in the series
Trend Match (PLAY): Houston (+1.5 at UCF)

Georgia State at Coastal Carolina

Road teams are a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS in this series since ‘17
Trend Match (PLAY): Georgia State (+7.5 at Coastal Carolina)

Florida State at Clemson

Favorites are on a 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS streak in the Clemson-FSU rivalry (last year’s ATS loss was by the hook, Clemson won 29-13 as a 16.5-point favorite)
Trend Match (PLAY): Clemson (-2.5 vs. Florida State)

Indiana at Penn State

OVER the total is 5-1 in the last six of this series
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): Indiana-Penn State (o/u at 49.5)

Wake Forest at Virginia

Wake Forest is 7-0-1 ATS in its last eight games with UVA, and 5-0 ATS in its last five as a road underdog
Trend Match (PLAY): Wake Forest (+6.5 at Virginia)

Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan

Road teams are 8-1 ATS in the last nine of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): Bowling Green (+1.5 at Eastern Michigan)

UAB at Rice

Home teams are 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): Rice (-2.5 vs. UAB)

Iowa State at TCU

Home teams are 6-1 SU and ATS in the last seven of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): TCU (-6.5 vs. Iowa State)

Auburn at Vanderbilt

Under the total has converted in all six meetings since 2007
Trend Match (PLAY UNDER): Auburn-Vanderbilt (o/u at 45.5)

Texas State at Louisiana

Louisiana is on a 12-0 SU and 11-1 ATS run versus TSU
Trend Match (PLAY): Louisiana (+2.5 vs. Texas State)

UNLV at Colorado State

Colorado State is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games with UNLV, including seven straight covers when hosting the Rebels
Trend Match (PLAY): Colorado State (+4.5 vs. UNLV)

Florida International at Middle Tennessee State

Home teams are 9-3 SU and 10-2 ATS in the last 12 of this series
Trend Match (PLAY): Middle Tennessee State (+1.5 vs. FIU)
OVER the total is 9-2 in the last 11 of this rivalry
Trend Match (PLAY OVER): FIU-MTSU (o/u at 51.5)

Nevada at Utah State

Home teams are 10-2 ATS in this series since 2005
Trend Match (PLAY): Utah State (-9.5 vs. Nevada)

• USC has not handled outright road wins well, going 0-9 ATS in the next game if against conference opponents
• USC has lost 14 of its last 19 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
Trends Match (FADE): USC (-14.5 vs. Northwestern)

• Mississippi State is on a 0-8 ATS skid in conference play when coming off an upset win
Trend Match (FADE): Mississippi State (+8.5 vs. Georgia)

• UCF has lost 12 of its last 14 games ATS as a favorite in conference play
Trend Match (FADE): UCF (-1.5 vs. Houston)

• Rutgers is on a 2-12 ATS skid as a Big Ten home underdog
Trend Match (FADE): Rutgers (+1.5 vs. Maryland)

• Memphis is on a 9-20 ATS skid in conference games when coming off an outright win
Trend Match (FADE): Memphis (-6 vs. Tulane)

• Purdue has a respectable 14-5 ATS record in its last 19 games as a Big Ten dog of 20+ points
Trend Match (PLAY): Purdue (+29.5 vs. Ohio State)

• Georgia State is on a solid road Sun Belt run of 15-5 ATS
Trend Match (PLAY): Georgia State (+7.5 at Coastal Carolina)

• Louisville is on an impressive 12-5 ATS surge as an ACC home favorite
Trend Match (PLAY): Louisville (-19.5 vs. California)

• Northern Illinois is a 16-5 ATS MAC road underdog in its last 21 tries
Trend Match (PLAY): Northern Illinois (+14.5 at Toledo)

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